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Analysis of the uncertainty in rainfall forecasts obtained with a probabilistic nowcasting technique

Autor
Buil, A.; Berenguer, M.; Sempere-Torres, D.
Tipus d'activitat
Article en revista
Revista
Geophysical research abstracts
Data de publicació
2014-04
Volum
16
Pàgina inicial
12641
URL
http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2014/EGU2014-12641.pdf Obrir en finestra nova
Resum
Nowadays different methodologies have been developed for very short-term precipitation forecasting based on radar observations. When the advection of precipitation explains a signi¿cant portion of the temporal evolution of precipitation, the Lagrangian persistence is the most appropriate method. Unfortunately, in convective precipitation episodes it does not occur like this because the growth and decay of precipitation is generally fast and advection provides little information. It is then nece...
Grup de recerca
CRAHI - Centre de Recerca Aplicada en Hidrometeorologia

Participants