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Complexity and predictability of the monthly Western Mediterranean oscillation index

Autor
Lana, F.J.; Burgueño, A.; Martinez, M.D.; Serra, C.
Tipus d'activitat
Article en revista
Revista
International journal of climatology
Data de publicació
2016-05
Volum
36
Número
6
Pàgina inicial
2435
Pàgina final
2450
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4503 Obrir en finestra nova
Repositori
http://hdl.handle.net/2117/105695 Obrir en finestra nova
URL
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4503/abstract Obrir en finestra nova
Resum
The complexity, predictability and predictive instability of the Western Mediterranean Oscillation index (WeMOi) at monthly scale, years 1856-2000, are analysed from the viewpoint of monofractal and multifractal theories. The complex physical mechanism is quantified by: (1) the Hurst exponent, H, of the rescaled range analysis; (2) correlation and embedding dimensions, mu* and d(E), together with Kolmogorov entropy, kappa, derived from the reconstruction theorem; and (3) the critical Holder expo...
Citació
Lana, F.J., Burgueño, A., Martinez, M.D., Serra, C. Complexity and predictability of the monthly Western Mediterranean oscillation index. "International journal of climatology", Maig 2016, vol. 36, núm. 6, p. 2435-2450.
Paraules clau
Autoregressive process, Complexity and predictive instability, Fractional Gaussian noise simulation, Multifractal spectrum, Reconstruction theorem, Western Mediterranean Oscillation index
Grup de recerca
GIES - Geofísica i Enginyeria Sísmica

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