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Economic uncertainty: a geometric indicator of discrepancy among experts’ expectations

Autor
Claveria, O.; Monte, E.; Torra Porras, Salvador
Tipus d'activitat
Article en revista
Revista
Social indicators research
Data de publicació
2018-08-18
Pàgina inicial
1
Pàgina final
20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-018-1984-2 Obrir en finestra nova
Projecte finançador
Tecnologías de aprendizaje profundo aplicadas al procesado de voz y audio
Repositori
http://hdl.handle.net/2117/121115 Obrir en finestra nova
URL
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11205-018-1984-2 Obrir en finestra nova
Resum
In this study we present a geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty. We design a positional indicator of disagreement among survey-based agents’ expectations about the state of the economy. Previous dispersion-based uncertainty indicators derived from business and consumer surveys exclusively make use of the two extreme pieces of information: the percentage of respondents expecting a variable to rise and to fall. With the aim of also incorporating the information coming from the share ...
Citació
Claveria, O., Monte, E., Torra Porras, S. Economic uncertainty: a geometric indicator of discrepancy among experts’ expectations. "Social indicators research", 1 Gener 2018, p. 1-20.
Paraules clau
Barycentric coordinate system, Disagreement, Economic tendency surveys, Expectations, Geometry, Spatial vectors
Grup de recerca
IDEAI-UPC Intelligent Data Science and Artificial Intelligence
TALP - Centre de Tecnologies i Aplicacions del Llenguatge i la Parla
VEU - Grup de Tractament de la Parla

Participants